Thunderstorm activity observed over northwest India during past 24 hours and Forecast for next 2 days

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Thunderstorm activity observed over northwest India during past 24 hours and Forecast for next 2 days 

Realised Weather during past 24 hrs ending of 0830 IST of Today (14 May 2018)

    • Rain/thundershowers accompanied with gusty / squally wind occurred at most places over Uttarakhand, East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal & Sikkim and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; at many places over Himachal Pradesh, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka, Chhattisgarh and Kerala; at a few places Jammu & Kashmir, West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, East Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, North Interior Karnataka and Rayalaseema and at isolated places over Punjab, West Madhya Pradesh, Telangana, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Madhya Maharashtra, Lakshadweep and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

Following maximum wind has been recorded during past 24 hours:

Station                                                 Wind speed (Kmph)      Time

Delhi (Safdarjung) 107 1644-1646 hrs
Delhi (Palam) 96 1633-1634 hrs
  • Current Weather systems and its forecast
    • The Western Disturbance as a trough lies over Pakistan & adjoining Afghanistan in middle tropospheric levels. It is likely to move eastwards during next 48 hours.
    • A cyclonic circulation lies over central Pakistan and adjoining northwest Rajasthan and Punjab in lower levels. It is likely to weaken after 24 hours.
    • The north-south trough runs from the above cyclonic circulation to north Madhya Maharashtra across southeast Rajasthan and West Madhya Pradesh at lower levels. It is likely to weaken gradually during next 48 hours.
    • A cyclonic circulation lies over northern parts of West Bengal & neighbourhood in lower levels. It is likely to persist over the same region during next 24 hours and weaken thereafter gradually.
    • The north-south trough runs along Long. 88°E to the north of 24°N at 3.1 km above mean sea level. It is likely to move eastwards gradually.
    • There is a north-south wind discontinuity from Rayalaseema to south Tamilnadu in lower levels.
  • Weather Forecast
  • Rain/thundershowers very likely at most places over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Bengal & Sikkim; at many places over Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Kerala, South Interior Karnataka and at isolated to a few places over rest of the country outside Rajasthan, Gujarat, north Konkan and north Madhya Maharashtra where weather likely to be dry during next 2-3 days.
  • Weather warnings for next 2 days (14-15 May 2018):
    • Thunderstorm accompanied with squall and hail (wind speed reaching 50-70 kmphvery likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand and squall at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha.
    • Thunderstorm accompanied with gusty winds (wind speed reaching 50-60 kmphvery likely at isolated places over Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph over Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, South Interior Karnataka, Tamilnadu & Puducherry.
    • Heavy rain very likely at isolated places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Kerala, South Interior Karnataka, interior Tamilnadu and Assam & Meghalaya.
    • Duststorm very likely at isolated places over Rajasthan.

The verification of thunderstorm warning issued on 13th May 2018 based on the realized weather during past 24 hours ending at 0830 hrs. IST of 14th May is given in the enclosed table.

S.No. Sub-Division Forecast

warnings

Realized weather (highest rain in cm)

recorded at 0830 hrs of 14 May 2018

1 ANDAMAN & NICO. ISLANDS    
2 ARUNACHAL PRADESH    
3 ASSAM & MEGHALAYA TS+ GW TS+ GW
4 NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA TS+ GW TS+GW (Kohima & Kailashahar-1)
5 SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM    
6 GANGETIC WEST BENGAL TS+ GW TS+GW (Canning-6)
7 ODISHA TS + Squall TS+GW (Chandbali-6)
8 JHARKHAND TS+ GW TS+GW (Daltonganj-2)
9 BIHAR    
10 EAST UTTAR PRADESH TS+ GW TS+Squall (Gorakhpur-3)
11 WEST UTTAR PRADESH TS+ GW TS+Squall (Bareilly-2)
12 UTTARAKHAND TS + Squall TS+Squall
13 HARYANA CHD. & DELHI TS+ GW TS + GW+Squall (Ambala-2)
14 PUNJAB TS+ GW TS+GW (Patiala-1)
15 HIMACHAL PRADESH TS + Squall TS+GW (Solan-3)
16 JAMMU & KASHMIR TS+ GW TS+GW
17 WEST RAJASTHAN DS DS
18 EAST RAJASTHAN DS DS
19 WEST MADHYA PRADESH TS+ GW TS+GW
20 EAST MADHYA PRADESH TS+ GW TS+GW
21 GUJARAT REGION D.D. &

N.H.

   
22 SAURASTRA KUTCH & DIU    
23 KONKAN & GOA    
24 MADHYA MAHARASHTRA    
25 MARATHAWADA    
26 VIDARBHA TS+ GW  
27 CHHATTISGARH TS+ GW TS+GW
28 COASTAL ANDHRA

PRADESH

TS+ GW TS+GW
29 TELANGANA TS+ GW TS
30 RAYALASEEMA TS+ GW TS+GW
31 TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY TS+ GW+HR TS+GW (Kakinada-3)
32 COASTAL KARNATAKA   TS+GW (Mangalore-5)
33 NORTH INT.KARNATAKA   TS+GW (Belgaum-5)
34 SOUTH INT.KARNATAKA TS+ GW TS+GW
35 KERALA TS+ GW+HR TS+GW (Thiruvananathapuram-6)
36 LAKSHADWEEP    

          Legends: TS=Thunderstorm; GW=Gusty winds and HR= Heavy Rain

About Post Author

Suman Munshi

Founder Editor of IBG NEWS (15/Mar/2012- 09/Aug/2018). Recipient of Udar Akash Rokeya Shakhawat Hossain Award 2018. National Geographic & Canon Wild Clicks 2011 jury and public poll winner. Studied Post Graduate Advance Dip in Computer Sc., MBA IT,LIMS (USA & Australia), GxP(USA & UK),BA (Sociology) Dip in Journalism (Ireland), Diploma in Vedic Astrology, Numerology, Palmistry, Vastu Shastra & Feng Sui 25 years in the digital & IT industry with Global MNCs' worked & traveled in USA, UK, Europe, Singapore, Australia, Bangladesh & many other countries. Education and Training advance management and R&D Technology from India, USA, UK, Australia. Over 30 Certification from Global leaders in R&D and Education. Computer Science Teacher, IT & LIMS expert with a wide fan following in his community. General Secretary West Bengal State Committee of All Indian Reporter’s Association
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