Why did India abstain from voting in UN Security Council against Russia?
By Udit Bhaskar Ray & Suman Munshi
Many pundits are essaying turbulent times for India in wake of the current Ukraine crisis.
However, we believe that this will be a great boon for India in near future. That’s why dynasty fans will cry fouls out of it.
Of late West is advocating China+1 strategy for outsourcing manufacturing to balance out supply chain issues. Mao De Jung grabbed the opportunity in the nineties to shape China. Now last 7 years, India has started the same rule of the game with Production Linked Incentive Schemes.
But if Russia can make NATO look for cover, just imagine what will happen if China growls. They will not even dare to put sanctions. Their economy will collapse overnight.
So, they will prefer to change their doctrine to 1+China if at all possible.
Their only glimmer of hope is in India. Well, the World and fans of the Indian Diplomatic diaspora think so.
However, till the Dollar is 75 Rupees, you have little respect and claw over the Global diplomacy in Military conditions. Just think Can India fight One Month’s full-scale War with Russia Like Sanction On? Will the People of India stand by their Government Discussion in situations like that and not agitate outside Delhi even if the decision is for the country like bringing Back “POK” and other stolen parts? Well, just think and you know the answer. So, to have the true Geo-Political dogma, you need a strong economy.
Yet, this situation puts India in a sweet spot. By abstaining from voting against Russia, basically, India has used a double-edged sword.
She has communicated to the communists that we are among their best friends and, on the other hand, has communicated to the Capitalists that there is no free lunch.
I remember a famous Bangla song by Kishore Kumar from Film “LAL KUTHI”-
“Karor keu noi ko aami,Moner moto daam ti dile tobe powa jai.” Literary means “I am not with anyone but everyone wants me with them, only the right price can decide which way I will go.”
I have always said the BRICS will be the ultimate axis to rule this world. The USA and Europe will lose the game in the long run as the world is moving to a consumer-driven society and you can not ignore the market of IC (India China Combine) 300 Cr people half the World. The market will slowly move to the tune of IC and Russia will make a Move with Brazil to be the strategic King Pin the group.
However Ukraine Crisis is just an eyewash of West and Russia to restore their potential BIG BOSS like status in the World after Afghan, Syria both needs a stronger Market for their Defence sector. So, Drum has been played in the tune of Biden and Putin, keeping the Geo Politics Compulsion.
If the USA and the west feel economic sanctions are the way to stop any misdid in the world, then why not the same sanction against USA and China for spreading COVID-19 from China Lab and under USA’s finance? Well, justice is not based on ethics but depends on the need of the hour and how the Western world wants justice to be done.
Many are crying evil for Russia, but our take is if you try to poke the nose of a sleeping Lion this is what you will soon land into.
The world has understood Putin is not at all a paper tiger and will not sit quietly if he poked by West. So the world is looking at India as the biggest Arms client of India if Russia can listen to change India.
Well, initially failed talks between Ukraine and Russia opened up India to inter-vein. Things are shaping up that way.
Author: Udit Bhaskar Roy, a busy management guru with over 3 decades of business development expertise in MNCs. His lab skills during the Physics classes at Motijheel College always get reflected in his critical quantum analysis of the situation. Apart from being a die-hard fan of music and classical literature, He loves to click some wonderful moments through the digital eye & lenses. Iron-hand administrator, yet affectionate enough to be admired by all.
Co-Author and Edited by Suman Munshi